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Oil Prices Find their Footing Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) members: Saudi Arabia, Qatar and Venezuela have arranged to meet with non-OPEC member Russia in March, 2016.1 The meeting will take place after their initial talks on February 16, 2016, in the Qatari capital Doha, where they reached a tentative agreement to freeze crude output. Record-high production levels have forced oil producers to…
Emerging Market Crude Oil Producers Face an Uphill Battle, While Importers Reap Benefits The price of oil has tumbled 71.5 percent1 since the summer of 2014. In June 20, 2014, the price of a West Texas Intermediate crude oil contract was $107.20 per barrel. On Wednesday, January 13, 2016, that same barrel was trading at $30.48 on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The main factors…
After U.S. Fed Rate Hike the Indian Rupee Appreciated Versus Dollar In the summer of 2013 the U.S. Federal Reserve announced its plans to start reducing the amount of bonds it purchased on a monthly basis. Although it would not taper its quantitative easing for another eight months, the market reacted by selling off emerging market currencies in what then named the "taper tantrum". The…
Notes From U.S. Central Bank Signal First Interest Rate Hike In A Decade The U.S. central bank released the minutes from the October Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on Wednesday, November 18, 2015. At its previous assembly, the Federal Reserve had kept the benchmark interest rate unchanged at 0.25 percent, but the statement published at the end of the meeting added that the possibility…
The Asian powerhouse was a notable absentee in the TPP Agreement The Trans Pacific Partnership’s (TPP) 12 members Australia, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore, Vietnam and the U.S., reached a historic accord on October 5, 2015. Japan and the U.S. were late additions, as they had the largest number of demands and a few deal breakers that needed to be…
General elections often bring with them high volatility and uncertainty. Such was the case in Turkey where a snap election called by an under fire government rattled local stock and currency markets. In calling an early election, Turkey President Recep Tayyip Erdogan did the unthinkable as polls ahead of the election showed his party failing to reach the majority vote that was lost for the…
Chinese GDP was higher than anticipated at 6.9 percent in a week that also saw President Xi Jinping visit the UK China had a productive week that started with the release of better-than-expected gross domestic product (GDP) data and a four-day visit to the UK by Chinese President Xi Jinping. China’s GDP numbers beat expectations with a 6.9 percent print, although government officials warned markets…
Federal Reserve backs itself into a corner after failure to raise rates The Federal Reserve sent shockwaves through the emerging markets by announcing the end of its quantitative easing program in the summer of 2013. The resulting ‘taper tantrum’ did not teach the central bank a lesson in the impact that its announcements may have on global markets. At the time, American policy makers were…
The Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) has been approved on a provisional basis by its 12 members after a gruelling session in Atlanta. Australia, Brunei, Canada, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore, the U.S.
Despite the theories about how trade has decoupled from foreign exchange, it seems that everybody loves a bargain; with global trade still following the traditional pattern of a rise in sales after a price cut.
Mexico Navigates Macro Economic Headwinds with Trade Partnerships, Foreign reserves and a Stable Government. Mexico has the second largest economy in Latin America and the fourth largest in the Americas. This emerging market has weathered the global storm and is well positioned to tap into the momentum from the growth of its main export partner, the U.S. The Mexican economy is forecasted to grow 2.5…
The global central banking elite met at the annual symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, in the United States of America at the end of August. Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Governor Raghuram Rajan made headlines with his comments on the Chinese Yuan devaluation, the looming interest rate hike by the U.S. Federal Reserve and of course the strength of the Indian recovery.

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